Oh God Why: Day Three: IT'S LOOOOOOSE (18/30)

Oh man that is a great site. THIS WILL BE A FIGHT TO REMEMBER.

As the endless night entered its second week, the median temperature of Townzia had dropped, hovering just slightly above the zero mark on the Celsius scale. Plants had begun to wither and die, and the citizen's vitamin D levels were just plain shot to shit.

The looting was unprecedented, as the rougher element had a permanent cover of darkness for their nefarious schemes.

The hooting was also unprecedented, as the owl element had a permanent cover of darkness for their nefarious mouse-eating schemes.

A child was heard to ask, "Mommy, is the sun ever coming back?", to which the mother's only reply was a slow shake of the head and a single tear that glistened in the flickering fluorescent light.

menwhil we all just trying to get monster dogs to fnally have sex...

no wonder they endngred like pandas...

TehPilot! What shall be the date for our confrontation? I propose tomorrow evening, after 8 central!

As the endless night entered its second week, the median temperature of Townzia had dropped, hovering just slightly above the zero mark on the Celsius scale. Plants had begun to wither and die, and the citizen's vitamin D levels were just plain shot to shit.

I was going to yell at you that that was inaccurate, but I calculated that had the temperature started at 21.35^oC, then after exactly one week, it would cool down to .01^oC, so that's actually quite accurate, as that's a fair springtime temperature. If you wanted extreme accuracy down to this moment, the temperature should be about -7.44.

(For you non-metric people, 70.5F, 32F, and 18.6F)

TehPilot! What shall be the date for our confrontation? I propose tomorrow evening, after 8 central!

8 central is 9 eastern...

Perhaps that's doable. Confirm for me: legendaries, yay or nay?

I've now modified my temperature formula to deal with both the Greenhouse Effect and the daily temperature fluctuations (I'm assuming that it is more likely that we've magically been shielded from the sun and that the rest of the world is functioning normally than the entire Earth has been stopped and we've all been flung off). So now I can do this:

Your predicted low for tonight: -14.48°C (5.94°F)
Your predicted high for tomorrow: -.59°C (30.94°F)

[...]
Your predicted high for tomorrow: -.59°C (30.94°F)

Tomorrow??? Will there really be a tomorrow???

8 central is 9 eastern...

Perhaps that's doable. Confirm for me: legendaries, yay or nay?

I'd say nay! (Primarily because I don't want to see a rayquaza vs kygore, but also because it adds to the mystery of who the other chooses.)

THE FIGHT SHALL BE SOON

But first, a quick confirmation on a Thing: should we stick to the ~200 or so Pokemon found in RSE, or utilize all 386 Pokemon availible up to Gen III?

We should coordinate the specifics on the #eagletime IRC. All subsequent trashtalking can be crossposted (in spoiler) here.

Oh wait ninja'd

Only pokemon available in Sapphire for me, only pokemon available in Emerald for you! Blubapedia should be good for that!

Maybe Para is actually purposefully prolonging the day just to see what odd ideas we come with regarding the night. Also, if I haven't said it yet, doggie orgy is an idea I support. Also, can we get a model for the predicted Oh God Why temperature?

Pokemon Showdown: btp vs. TehPilot (5-0 TehPilot)

YOUR ILLEGITIMATE OFFSPRING

IS MINE

It's a group of multiple equations, taken with the differential every hour. The first equation is the Stephan-Boltzmann Law, where the blackbody irradiance is equal to σT⁴ W/m². The second part is the capacity of the atmosphere for heat, found by the pressure of the air (10332.3 kg/m²) times its specific heat (1006 J/gK) plus the albedo for greenhouse gas (55% times the first value). These two are divided to get temperature change per second (all units cancel out, leaving KW/J = K/s). This is multiplied by 3600 to get the loss per hour. The equation for daily temperature was found in this study by Satterlund et al., using the coastal April values. The official formulae that I use in my spreadsheet are below the spoiler:

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Column A: Time since start of night (hours)
Formula: A_n=A_n-1+1

Column B: Mean Temperature (Kelvin)
Formula: B_n=B_n-1-3600*E_n-1

Column C: Output Irradiance (Watts per meter squared)
Formula: C_n=(273.15+L_n)⁴*5.6704*10^-8

Column D: Heat Capacity (Kilojoules per Kelvin Meter Squared)
Formula: D_n=10332.3*1006+550*C_n

Column E: Temperature Differential (Kelvin per second)
Formula: E_n=C_n / D_n

Column F: Mean Temperature in Fahrenheit
Formula: F_n=1.8*(G_n+40)-40

Column G: Mean Temperature in Celsius
Formula: G_n=B_n-273.15

Column H: Valid Forecast Date
Column I: Valid Forecast Hour

Column J: Displacement from Maximum (Hours)
Formula: J_n=(I_n+19.3)%24-12

Column K: Current Temperature in Fahrenheit
Formula: K_n=(F_n-B_n/18)+(B_n/9)*(e^{If J_n>0: -.72, -.2;*J_n}*(1+J_n/14.7)^{If J_n>0: .72*14.7, .2*14.7;})
Excel® Formula {for cell K3}: =(F3-B3/18)+B3/9*(EXP(IF(J3>0,-0.72,-0.2)*J3)*(1+J3/14.7)^IF(J3>0,0.72*14.7,0.2*14.7))

Column L: Current Temperature in Celsius
Formula: L_n=5/9*(K_n+40)-40

Now, you might be asking why I am putting so much effort into this instead of the mafia game. Well, a mafia game has days and nights, so I'd put more in if we had one.

Also, with the corrections from when I last said, tonight's (18-19 Apr) low is expected to be -17.4°C (.6°F). Tomorrow's high should be around -3.9°C (25.0°F).

YOUR FIVE-DAY FORECAST, ASSUMING NIGHT DOESN'T END

Code:

DAY        HIGH      LOW
18 APR:      X      -17.4
19 APR:    -3.9     -19.6
20 APR:    -6.3     -21.7
21 APR:    -8.4     -23.7
22 APR:    -10.5    -25.7
23 APR:    -12.5    -27.6

pilot i forget... whose side r u on...

Team Schazer.

btp: I'm gonna make your bitch my bitches bitch!
TehPilot: HA!
TehPilot: Do you even know who I am???
btp: (hopefully someone who is unfamiliar with internet-based pokemon)
TehPilot: I PLAY COMPETITIVELY!
btp: WELP.

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Gotta say, I loved gettin' mah MIME-ON, but you just can't beat a true life MURDERDAWG.

On an unrelated note, if anyone wants TehPilot's sloppy seconds, Sapphire will be in her crate.

Mime wins moral victory of attracting almost every pokemon on Pilot's team

godspeed, brave mime, you were truly the mood-maker for all this doggy business that is about to go down

btp and Pilot

you have done a great thing tonight

Kíeros on the other hand I mean come on if you want to be a forecaster then could you at least tell us whether or not it's going to rain tomorrow

precipitation's the main part of the weather experience

trust me I'm a Brit

(also if it's still night come the weekend then I might have another go at doing my own special thing)

Well, given our extreme cold temperatures compared to the areas around us, we are likely to have convergence aloft. Since most lows form from divergence, we would be under high pressure. Additionally, with the convergence aloft, that would create sinking motion which contributes to high pressures. Therefore, we should not have any precipitation due to extreme high pressure.

If it taaaakes forever


I will waiiiit for day

Hey, everyone. I've got a great idea for a game we can do while waiting. It's called "Day 2".

Okay, so nobody died, and if you were supposed to be informed about an action, you were roleblocked. Except for you, cops; the people who you investigated were innocent. With 27 alive it's 14 to lynch, and day ends whenever day starts.

That's a terrible idea.

vote: Kieros