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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 09:29 AM
Fair enough, aC. I also agree with Schazer, people should talk. Lotta stuff was said for everyone to chew on.
I genuinely feels like this day has gone on forever though but I'm a little stunned to learn that we still have somewhere in the ballpark of 71 hours to go. I would have waited a bit longer before doing this dumb thing myself if I knew that, honestly. But now I gotta say it before it derails the whole damn conversation.
Point is, if both of us are town, I don't see a world where either of us live to survive the end of Day 3. And it would be a slow process with a lot of nightkills that would put town at possible disadvantage.
so let me just get this over with and say this:
Show Content
Spoiler
(08-29-2018, 08:16 AM)Sai Wrote: »If you don't have a power that's activated on your being lynched,
(08-29-2018, 07:58 AM)BlazerC Wrote: »I cannot stress how much I'd be okay with that.
I would like a role claim from aC before it came to that though. I don't think it'll matter, considering it we'll end up pretty dead real fast,
https://ytcropper.com/cropped/7z5b865f3b57693
When I get lynched I take someone with me.
Yes I'm aware it's a role better suited for perhaps surviving until MYLO or something, but at this point either aC is Mafia and I get cleared making my role moot, or aC is town and I've bungled this up so much I doubt I'd survive long enough. And yes in that scenario, I could shoot for a Day 3 precision kill on my lynch but I also doubt my accuracy on anyone other than aC right now.
I've actually been somewhat afraid of dying, not because I'd be dead, but because I'm deathly afraid of the idea of accidentally killing a town power role in my vengekill.
People want us both dead regardless and I can understand why, so I offer the solution: Lynch me and I'll pop on aC. We both flip, town gets a lot of info and there's a high chance that one of us even mafia as well.
If we're both town, it gets this mess out of the way.
If aC is mafia and I'm town, it's a good trade.
If I'm mafia and aC's town, I'm a lying pile of garbage and I just die.
Soft Lynch me, use the day to chat. I think that's the best case scenario.
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 01:12 PM
Ahh, so it's like that huh? I understand everything now.
I'm not super confident in that as a plan? Having a on lynch ability makes sense as a thing that explains, you're entire deal with your play i guess? all of the posts you've made have been, a lot in ways and this is like, definitely, wild as a scum gambit but the paranoid part of me is wondering if there could be scum on lynch ability shenanigans...
its also interesting to me that theres only been two mechanical like "something happened to you in the night" things, but i guess not every game can have a massive night action mystery.
oh yeah also
MirdiVotalBot Wrote:Solaris - 3 (TehPilot, Airey, Numbers) this is such a fuckin weird, side thing thats happening today i dont understand it at all
anyway awkward carapace you should roleclaim as you have no chance to survive make your time
and blazer please give me the uhhhh bit in your role qt or name where mirdini tells you your specific role action so that we actually know how your lynchbomb works lol
Standing here, The way ahead's becoming clear
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Walk forward through the cold dawn
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 01:18 PM
to clarify, i understand why people are voting for me, it is because they are jealous of how popular and cute i am, it is just the specific people voting for me and the posts theyve made about it are wild
Standing here, The way ahead's becoming clear
All across these new frontiers
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 03:32 PM
Ugh, goddammit Blazer, it was already obvious that you were town.
Sorry, but I'm not on board with lynching you, the math just doesn't check out. One scum death is better then trading a townie for a scum death, and in the case of a mislynch one town death is better than two.
Also, looking at the list of people who've voted Blazer today, (Acionyx, Numbers, AC, Sai, Slorange), I kinda hate it? Literally everyone on this list falls somewhere between a neutral and scumread for me, so no thanks I'll pass.
If you really are a vengeful then there's also no reason why we shouldn't expect scum to just shoot you at some point? You're not a bomb, and you dying earlier in the game just means that you'll have way info to base your kill on. And like, even if we assume that scum is planning to roleblock you or something, it's still better for them to have to blow a power use and the nightkill than to just hand them a free townie lynch on a silver platter.
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 03:37 PM
This would be an absolutely wild scum play given that they literally just lost a player last night and it's day two I guess but I still don't like it very much.
Although I can't put my finger on why because I wanted to lynch aC anyway, I guess I just don't like roles coming out.
I am interested in why you would ask aC what his role is before killing him though.
What benefit is that if he's going to die and flip anyway? Is there anything he could say that would change your mind about killing him, given that if he's that important a town player and not lying he'll probably get killed tonight anyway, and if so then why did you claim?
People aren't going to counter claim him if he says he's a doctor or whatever, it's day two.
Like think about this, if aC is actually scum and lies to you:
1) You don't believe him, he dies anyway, worth a shot.
2) You don't kill him, so he gets to live a bit longer using a fake claim and just outed yourself for no reason. Also, maybe now we also believe him and so people waste their time trying to protect aC from night kills that weren't going to target him anyway.
And if aC is town with a useful role and tells the truth:
1) You don't believe him, he dies anyway, we didn't learn anything extra from this reveal.
2) You don't kill him, so now scum knows what role he has and either kills him or gets free reign to kill whoever else because anyone we have who can protect people has to do that now. We still don't gain anything.
If you're not confident enough to kill aC you shouldn't have revealed yourself to start with.
If we go with this gambit as our plan then fine, but then we don't want to spend all day talking about whether aC's role claim is a lie or not or we didn't gain anything by spending the additional 60 hours talking because that question will just be answered when he's dead.
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:00 PM
(08-28-2018, 05:59 PM)Jacquerel Wrote: »I think I'm gonna go back to the other people on there later instead of right now (it seems like especially TehPilot and BlazerC I need to pay more attention to than I have been) to stop this from being a big post and also because I want to do something else right now, but also right now I'm willing to lynch aC today.
Day one read on TehPilot is: bad
Made an earlyish post talking purely about numbers and Q, jumped on a likely wagon, and then dropped off the radar for the rest of the day without adding anything else
This is the behaviour I would expect of scum who didn't want to get noticed
BlazerC I'm not really gonna bother right now because this current thing is probably all we're going to talk about with lynching BlazerC right now and not whatever he was doing yesterday
Granola day one is low content, does not bother to justify getting on wagon very hard, but I like more than TehPilot.
I didn't like "I'd daycop me" when numbers said it though and I also don't like it off Granola. That just means "I want to be able to post with impunity" / "I want to get shot by the scum team" and that isn't like... a good thing for town to say out loud generally?
So off the people who joined the Q wagon who I'm not already voting for, definitely feeling worst about TehPilot and then secondly about Granola.
Three scum out of seven people seems like it'd be excessive though.
TehPilot today has said "I don't think aC and Blazer are knowingly aligned" which is like..... duh? and then jumps on Solaris.
I can't say I would call Solaris a town read other than she's made moves that seem too weird to be something a scum player would do, but the fact that I don't like what TehPilot has been doing makes me feel better about Solaris.
Limited most of their talk today to low content posters instead of any of the other things that have been going on until prodded to do otherwise by someone they'd actually need to worry about.
Bad look.
"I don't like aC but also don't want to vote for them right now because they're already at soft lynch". Believable, but unfortunate if true because still not a good look, because it's a very convenient way to not have to commit and have plausible deniability.
Also, stated scum read on Solaris was partially due to thinking that they were on a team with aC.
Now no longer believes that those two are on a team, also would be willing to vote for aC, however instead retains their vote on Solaris.
That doesn't quite add up.
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:00 PM
Would be happy to lynch TehPilot if we don't want to kill aC but I'm still alright with killing aC, quite happy to do so without lynching BlazerC at the same time.
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:04 PM
Side eyeing Granola for "I have a townish read on Jacq but he's right in pointing out that he shouldn't be that high on anyone's list after yesterday" because I'm right in pointing out that I shouldn't be that high on anyone's list after yesterday, at least not on page 14 when that was posted.
It doesn't stop being true because you said so, and I will side eye people who say that just after I was actively posting because it still sounds to me like "I'm your friend, don't look at me".
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:09 PM
Huh
Feeling kind of stuck, seedy voting on AC if AC is town is frankly kind of a really bad move as scum but I kinda feel like the entire rest of that lynch is town
Carapace/Seedy/Pharmacy/Schazer? 4/2/15 split w serial killer is... that's seedy going all in on dumpstering the rest of the team on day two. I could see it but yikes. If it's 5/2/14 it might make sense?
Hrm
Town
Blazer
CB
Slorange
Granola
Jacq
Sai
Pilot
Show Content
SpoilerSolaris - 3 (Not The Author, Jacquerel, LegendaryQ)
Airey - 3 (TehPilot, Palamedes, Sai)
seedy - 2 (Acionyx, Coldblooded)
Granolaman - 2 (Airey, Schazer)
Justice Watch - 1 (BlazerC)
Robust Laser - 1 (seedy)
Schazer - 1 (Granolaman)
LegendaryQ - 1 (Solaris)
Abstaining - 7 (Pharmacy, Numbers, awkwardcarapace, Robust Laser, Justice Watch, Reyweld, SleepingOrange)
Solaris - 3 (Not The Author, Jacquerel, LegendaryQ)
Airey - 3 (TehPilot, Palamedes, Sai)
Granolaman - 3 (Airey, Schazer, Numbers)
seedy - 3 (Acionyx, Coldblooded, Robust Laser)
Justice Watch - 2 (BlazerC, Granolaman)
Robust Laser - 1 (seedy)
LegendaryQ - 1 (Solaris)
Abstaining - 5 (Pharmacy, awkwardcarapace, Justice Watch, Reyweld, SleepingOrange)
Numbers - 3 (Coldblooded, Palamedes, seedy)
Airey - 2 (TehPilot, Sai)
Granolaman - 2 (Airey, Schazer)
Sai - 2 (BlazerC, Acionyx)
seedy - 1 (Robust Laser)
LegendaryQ - 2 (Solaris, Reyweld)
Solaris - 1 (Jacquerel)
Justice Watch - 1 (Granolaman)
Not The Author - 1 (Numbers)
Abstaining - 5 (Pharmacy, awkwardcarapace, Justice Watch, Not The Author)
LegendaryQ - 7 (Reyweld, Granolaman, TehPilot, BlazerC, Jacquerel, Solaris, awkwardcarapace)
Numbers - 4 (Coldblooded, Palamedes, seedy, LegendaryQ)
Schazer - 2 (Sai, Acionyx)
seedy - 1 (Robust Laser)
BlazerC - 1 (Schazer)
Granolaman - 1 (Airey)
Abstaining - 5 (Pharmacy, Justice Watch, SleepingOrange, Not The Author, Numbers)
awkwardcarapace - 5 (BlazerC, Granolaman, Jacquerel, Coldblooded, seedy)
BlazerC - 3 (Acionyx, Numbers, awkwardcarapace)
Solaris - 2 (TehPilot, Airey)
Sai - 1 (Not The Author)
TehPilot - 1 (Solaris)
Numbers - 1 (Schazer)
Abstaining - 5 (Palamedes, Sai, Robust Laser, [JWatch's Replacement], SleepingOrange)
awkwardcarapace - 6 (BlazerC, Granolaman, Jacquerel, Coldblooded, seedy, Solaris)
BlazerC - 4 (Acionyx, awkwardcarapace, SleepingOrange, Sai)
Solaris - 3 (TehPilot, Airey, Numbers)
Sai - 1 (Not The Author)
Numbers - 1 (Schazer)
Abstaining - 3 (Palamedes, Robust Laser, [JWatch's Replacement])
If AC/Seedy are town numbers looks like a given, one of airey/pala, robust laser? Schazer maybe given seedy's Thing? It fits with a team that's trying not to rock the boat D1 and I can def see that kind of play when we only had 72 hours to start with
AC scum world it feels like the only fits are seedy/solaris/lurker?
Vote: Robust Laser Feels bad in all options
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:14 PM
Ah,
Well, after getting over the gut reaction of "this is absolutely wild", I'm still totally
(08-29-2018, 01:24 AM)awkwardcarapace Wrote: »okay with this
This hunter role claim... it doesn't seem like a scum gambit? It would make sense as a scumplay considering if it isn't challenged, it'll discourage some players from voting for 'em during dayphases but, like, I doubt anything this early on. (If it is a scumbit - whooh, geez. Madlad.) And I can't think of any scum roles that have this ability? So I'm feeling fine with that - I will say one thing though, which is BlazerC presents this as a kind of Final Ultimatum which I don't agree with. In fact, if what Blazer says is true (that he's town) why bother with this whole lynch-me-lynch-aC thing? It's better for town if only one player dies so wouldn't just a direct lynch be the better option?
And uh, nah, I'm not going to role reveal. Blazer, if you're dead-set on killing me when you "supposedly" get lynched end of D2, you'll find out then.
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:20 PM
Hmyeah could go for airey too after running through his posts, said the right words about lynching day one and still opted to sit on granola and not get involved in Q at all, only thing today of interest is enough opposition to solaris to cop/gun/vote
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:28 PM
Acio, what did Sai, Slorange, and Pilot do to get read as town? Like I could maybe see an argument for the first two on the grounds that not /everyone/ on the Blazer lynch can be scum, but besides that???
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:31 PM
I’m with jac that like...idk the blazer thing seems weird but otoh I have let myself get lynched as town just to activate a power (mine wasn’t even that good) so like some of the other’s said blazer’s play seems a little less wild
(gotta get back to work will talk about acio’s stuff later)
ac if you’re just going to be 0kay with this then at least give us a list of reads on everyone so we have something to remember you by
I support trying to get RL to be present cuz I literally forgot they existed when I made a short reads post
anyways
@Slorange
Quote:people I'm mechanically confident are town
que
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:32 PM
*others
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 04:59 PM
Hey nerds I just had an important setup realization that makes AC pretty super likely town based on behavior
Blazer's claimed DoB. I have a role that activates on death. AC is quite clearly smug because dying isn't actually a problem for them
Hope this helps.
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 05:06 PM
But yeah hey look at what we know is in play already
Q had a kill and would be needing to use it regardless of finding his target who is almost definitely a serial killer
Blazer's claimed a kill as well and the bane of all setups is fun roles dying too early and on death roles are kind of terrible for scum
It's almost as though there's a theme!
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 05:53 PM
(08-29-2018, 04:31 PM)seedy Wrote: »ac if you’re just going to be 0kay with this then at least give us a list of reads on everyone so we have something to remember you by
Don't feel good about (scum): Numbers, Solaris, TehPilot, Airey, Granolaman [seems to be a general consensus of Shadiness abound these guys, which is good]
Town: Acio, Jacq, Sai, Blazer (apparently???)
And who knows about the rest, man?? (~~jwatch, ~NTA, ~+seedy, ~slorange, -RL, -Schazer, +CB)
~ can't tell
+ lean town
- lean scum
Pala(+?) - I think they were moderately active in D1 but their activity fell off a lot in D2. IDK if this is because of irl stuff but would be nice to see a more recent post from 'em (and the same goes for RL, really. Come on yalls)
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 06:54 PM
God that's just about the funniest fucking scumreads I've ever seen
Standing here, The way ahead's becoming clear
All across these new frontiers
In my hands I hold the ones I love
Walk forward through the cold dawn
Always to new horizons
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 07:30 PM
(08-29-2018, 06:54 PM)Solaris Wrote: »?
God that's just about the funniest fucking scumreads I've ever seen
Very glad at least one of my posts was able to give someone a chuckle - but care to explain why, though?
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 07:33 PM
I think that granola, Solaris, and all the people voting for Solaris are such is extremely funny
Standing here, The way ahead's becoming clear
All across these new frontiers
In my hands I hold the ones I love
Walk forward through the cold dawn
Always to new horizons
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 07:33 PM
*Scum not such
Standing here, The way ahead's becoming clear
All across these new frontiers
In my hands I hold the ones I love
Walk forward through the cold dawn
Always to new horizons
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 07:41 PM
(08-29-2018, 01:12 PM)Solaris Wrote: »MirdiVotalBot Wrote:Solaris - 3 (TehPilot, Airey, Numbers) this is such a fuckin weird, side thing thats happening today i dont understand it at all
Maybe if you would actually take a look at our vote posts, you would understand why we think you are scum. That is, if you even want to bring even more attention to yourself by refuting them. Except, you already have, as you still aren't doing much of anything. For example,
(08-29-2018, 06:54 PM)Solaris Wrote: »God that's just about the funniest fucking scumreads I've ever seen
You say this, rather than asking why they thought that and providing actual useful information? I'm not sure, but you seem to be derailing.
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 07:46 PM
(08-29-2018, 07:33 PM)Solaris Wrote: »I think that granola, Solaris, and all the people voting for Solaris are such is extremely funny
Hey, you never know, it might just be the WILDEST bus pulled by scum this century!
(Erm, but that actually is a bit strange. Separately I feel shady about yall but I realize now that when looking at the actual votes cast it ... just doesn't make any sense?? My mega ultra galaxy brain interpretation that I'm making without re-evaluating my opinion is that they're using this time of The aCBC Show as a distraction to to distance themselves from each other, without actually gaining traction on said vote)
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 08:12 PM
yeah sorry sorry sorry i've been busy the past coupla days -- admittedly not TOO too busy to post in general but i suck a little bit, and right now i'm off to work so like, somebody should prod me in like 9 hours. I've been reading and while my information retention is bad the uh, general preview of my opinion is "what the fuuuuck is even happening"
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RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Two: Cold Dawn [18/21]
08-29-2018, 08:52 PM
Okay so I'll be honest and I've barely even skimmed the last few pages. I've been really busy and every time I try to take a few minutes to get back in the Blazer/aC wall apocalypse keeps me from putting my thoughts together, so I'm going to have to more or less skip them if I want to get anything together at all. I'll go back over it all later if I have time and/or it becomes critical knowledge, but it feels like neither of those situations are going to come up anytime soon. I realize that's super messed up considering I'm throwing a wall down here, but what can you do.
Note: Bolded a few names here because I'm specifically trying to ask a few questions and I know a lot of this will get lost due to sheer length. I'll vote right at the end to make things clear.
Wall incoming:
Show Content
SpoilerI feel like I recognize a lot of the frustration Blazer is putting forward from my own stupid arguments with someone I'm convinced is scum, which makes me feel pretty decent about him (seedy uses the word 'bluster', which is both accurate and something I feel is more townish in a stupid argument, whereas I feel like scum tends to more panic in those situations). From what I have skimmed, aC seemed to waver more between being purely defensive and doing what people wanted him to do. Still less interested in a lynch that way then I was before because this is an awful lot of noise to be making, but I'd kill them over Blazer if I had to choose right now. Also of note, neither of them are talking about anything that doesn't directly relate to them right now so it'd be cool if they did.
Justice Watch responded at least which is something, but I'm as unhappy with it as I was with Numbers' posts or a lot of aC's early ones (just a general lack of commitment on anything/focus on safe comments). Like, even just pick the three people you would kill right now if you had to choose.
Numbers and Airey falling back on the public cop question from D1 feels weird, but Airey's post is at least trying to bring in some info from Pharmacy's flip while Numbers is just... talking about flavour and rehashing aC's arguments regarding third parties? It makes me feel like aC and Numbers aren't coaligned, and the sort of hypocritical jump on Blazer for talking about the Siren in a post mostly dedicated to talking about the Siren makes me feel comfortable lynching them. I'm also not getting a bussing vibe from the vote so I'm doubting a Blazer/Numbers scum coalignment as well.
I mostly like TehPilot's post #350 but using logic leaps based around Solaris to figure out a Blazer/aC nonalignment is pretty silly based on how today's gone so far. Pilot, do you think this big argument between the two is potentially staged?
NTA asked Schazer the question I wanted to ask re: aC, and while I'd like some more cohesive thoughts of their own re: who is scum and who is town they also asked a lot of other good questions. I know I didn't phrase that as a question, but could you give some solid reads? If you think Blazer and aC could be pulling some crazy scum gambit, what are your thoughts on the more notable commenters on the argument?
I do not like Solaris' post #355. It just reads as super defensive (when none of their previous posts were anything of the sort) while also throwing shade at seedy for reasons that are a mystery to me (besides a Solaris/Schazer scumteam, even though I don't immediately think that's what's going on). If you think seedy is town why do you think her vote is bussing?
I disagree with Acio and NTA's retraction on Sai, which is to say that I agreed with NTA's comments. Like yes, Sai posted a fair amount D1 but for the life of me I cannot remember a single thing about anything they said outside of the posts that were quoted today. Even those quotes are fairly forgettable and don't add much to the discussion past just saying they think Schazer is weird. The only Sai interaction worth remembering is Pharmacy's defence (though while not damning, is not great either). Now that there are two major flips and a lot of important discussion I'd need to see what they post if I was to take them off of my theoretical murder list.
Jaq, good post where you voted for aC but after the depth you put into analyzing their and Solaris' votes I was hoping to see you do the same for the remaining voters (granola, Pilot, Blazer though I know you've talked about him a little bit). If aC flips town who would you look at between those three and Solaris next on that wagon?
I think it is super interesting how immediate the Blazer wagon fell apart/people started defending him between pages 15 and 16. I literally am running out of time as I'm typing this so I don't have a lot of time to look over it but Schazer and Numbers stand out as particularly odd.
I actually sort of see where seedy is coming from re: the exasperated vote on aC. I wanted to actually go hard on Numbers at the end of this but now it feels like anything that isn't an aC lynch is now pointless. I also just disagree that in a seedy scumworld aC was proving to be a liability - their lynch is about as close to certain as I feel you can get at this point, and they haven't really been implicating many people that they haven't already earlier in the day. That's what I would say, anyways, if seedy didn't go into a larger than necessary tangent defending themselves. I think it merits having an eye on them, but not necessarily a 'definite bus, must lynch'.
Speaking of Numbers, they are trying really hard to avoid having any sort of stance on aC, and it's throwing me for loops because that either implies coalignment (which I wasn't getting at all before) or that they want to look good in a town!aC world post lynch, which also seems different from their more reactionary playstyle so far.
The last two pages are just a lot. More than I can deal with right now. I don't really like Sai or Slorange's posts, don't agree that killing Blazer is a good move, Solaris is going wildly back and forth re: posts that make me want to kill them and not want to kill them, not sure what Acio is on about - aC's role isn't a death role from what you're saying? Being smug doesn't make sense if you have an on death power (this early in the game, at least), and they've been actively fighting being lynched.
I assume some vote analysis is going on and I'll give it a look but I just don't see much point in voting for someone who hasn't been active when we have a killer taking care of people like that for us.
Could vote for Solaris if it wasn't for that wagon, not going to vote for Blazer, I don't think I'm going to be around before dayend anymore than this and maybe one or two short posts so I don't want to bank on a Numbers/Schazer vote happening.
Vote: aC
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