RE: [11/19] Frozen Hearts Mafia [DAY FIVE: And Now, The Weather]
07-12-2014, 06:19 PM
Okay here's my guaranteed solution:
We only reach MYLO tomorrow if there's 4 scum alive. There is one benign third party and no SK: game balance suggests roughly 5 scum total in the game.
Due to Acio's claim, there's a guaranteed dichotomy between Pala and Acio.
If Pala was scum then there're only 3 scum left in the game. Lynching a town!Acio today would not result in a MYLO tomorrow.
If Pala was town then there're 4 scum left in the game. Not lynching scum today would result in Kingmaker MYLO tomorrow.
Given the dichotomy, an Acio lynch would guarantee that there're only 3 scum left tomorrow. Additionally, given how strongly divided the players are on the issue, Acio's lynch and subsequent reveal will net enough information to clear a number of players, condemn more, and potentially enough info to finish the game.
Therefore, an Acio lynch is the best option available to town right now.
We only reach MYLO tomorrow if there's 4 scum alive. There is one benign third party and no SK: game balance suggests roughly 5 scum total in the game.
Due to Acio's claim, there's a guaranteed dichotomy between Pala and Acio.
If Pala was scum then there're only 3 scum left in the game. Lynching a town!Acio today would not result in a MYLO tomorrow.
If Pala was town then there're 4 scum left in the game. Not lynching scum today would result in Kingmaker MYLO tomorrow.
Given the dichotomy, an Acio lynch would guarantee that there're only 3 scum left tomorrow. Additionally, given how strongly divided the players are on the issue, Acio's lynch and subsequent reveal will net enough information to clear a number of players, condemn more, and potentially enough info to finish the game.
Therefore, an Acio lynch is the best option available to town right now.