Murder By The Book - Ender's Game

I also think it's safe to assume we have at least two scum still alive, as I did the math with town, scum, and 3P lynches with 5/2/1 and 6/1/1 town/maf/3P worlds (assuming worst case scenario aka lovers die) and it looks like with 5/2/1 a town lynch would land us in a survivor-aided overrun, while every other scenario in both worlds would only land us in LYLO at worst.

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Spoiler5/2/1
Town mislynch; 4/2/1
Lovers die: 2/2/1 (town loss w/ survivor helping scum)

5/2/1
Scum lynch; 5/1/1
Lovers die: 3/1/1 (potential loss with survivor-aided overrun)

5/2/1
Survivor lynch: 5/2/0
Lovers die: 3/2/0 (LYLO)


6/1/1
Town mislynch, 5/1/1
Lovers die; 3/1/1 (potential loss with survivor-aided overrun)

6/1/1
Scum lynch (Town/Survivor win)

6/1/1
Survivor lynch: 6/1/0
Lovers die: 4/1/0 (safe world for town)

Confirming what Sotek's saying: Gnauga is a safe lynch, Pala's a riskier one.

Either way, we're really only in risk of losing the game in a two-scum world, so I think we're in a world with at least two mafia left. And that world is inherently more dangerous for town.

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Anyone else want to get a word in edgewise before I tip the scales well towards a Gnauga lynch?