Re: WHO ARE THE REAL MONSTERS?!?!?!??!? MAFIA D1: Some guy died
01-25-2013, 05:30 AM
Originally posted on MSPA by crepuscularDissembler.
@Luneix: to Bayes It Up ™ properly you need to factor in the initial probability of them being town/town, town/scum, and scum/scum and THEN add in how those would change if they had a fighty interaction (vs. no interaction vs. positive interaction?). at least I think that's how it should work
although I guess the point of doing it is less to be totally accurate and more to force yourself to really consider how likely you feel things are so w/e
this is all fairly unrelated to the game and for that I am sorry
I'm vaguely annoyed by MV voting Tea but that is because I want Tea to talk more about things that aren't him and the whole vote thing won't really help they'll just fuss back and forth even more
I feel much better about Luneix and MrGuy though so there's that at least
what happened to seastorm. where seastorm.
@Luneix: to Bayes It Up ™ properly you need to factor in the initial probability of them being town/town, town/scum, and scum/scum and THEN add in how those would change if they had a fighty interaction (vs. no interaction vs. positive interaction?). at least I think that's how it should work
although I guess the point of doing it is less to be totally accurate and more to force yourself to really consider how likely you feel things are so w/e
this is all fairly unrelated to the game and for that I am sorry
I'm vaguely annoyed by MV voting Tea but that is because I want Tea to talk more about things that aren't him and the whole vote thing won't really help they'll just fuss back and forth even more
I feel much better about Luneix and MrGuy though so there's that at least
what happened to seastorm. where seastorm.