Re: WHO ARE THE REAL MONSTERS?!?!?!??!? MAFIA D1: Some guy died
01-24-2013, 08:57 PM
Originally posted on MSPA by Luneix.
I'll start with Mr. Guy and Tea, because those are the two I'm most confident about:
With Tea, he was pretty much the first person I started suspecting at the beginning of the game, as I felt he was being overly aggressive and accusatory - however, now that we've had a good two days for us all to talk, I'm about 70-80% sure (in my opinion at least), that he was just an enthusiastic townie trying to get a rise (and therefore information and a read) out of MrGuy.
As far as I can tell, MrGuy hasn't done anything overly suspicious, other than responding rather defensively to Tea's initial statements, so I'm still pretty sure of his innocence.
So my summary of that situation at least is that there's a 45% chance of both of them being town, 35% of one being town, and 20% (probably less actually) for them both being scum.
With Palamedes, my current thoughts are that he's being quite aggressive - but while this could be an indicator of scumminess, it could just be that he honestly believes you're scum. I'm not inclined to offer support either way in this situation, as while Pala seems to be playing the role of aggressive townie, it's almost equally likely that he could be scum trying to get a quick lynch in on Day One. Conversely, you, Visceral could either be an emotive defensive townie, or scum trying to get out of a tough spot.
While I don't have a good read on either of you at the moment, I think the easiest way to persuade me to either side is to offer a readwall of at least some of the players, so I could determine whether you're misrepresenting facts or giving an honest view of the situation.
I'll start with Mr. Guy and Tea, because those are the two I'm most confident about:
With Tea, he was pretty much the first person I started suspecting at the beginning of the game, as I felt he was being overly aggressive and accusatory - however, now that we've had a good two days for us all to talk, I'm about 70-80% sure (in my opinion at least), that he was just an enthusiastic townie trying to get a rise (and therefore information and a read) out of MrGuy.
As far as I can tell, MrGuy hasn't done anything overly suspicious, other than responding rather defensively to Tea's initial statements, so I'm still pretty sure of his innocence.
So my summary of that situation at least is that there's a 45% chance of both of them being town, 35% of one being town, and 20% (probably less actually) for them both being scum.
With Palamedes, my current thoughts are that he's being quite aggressive - but while this could be an indicator of scumminess, it could just be that he honestly believes you're scum. I'm not inclined to offer support either way in this situation, as while Pala seems to be playing the role of aggressive townie, it's almost equally likely that he could be scum trying to get a quick lynch in on Day One. Conversely, you, Visceral could either be an emotive defensive townie, or scum trying to get out of a tough spot.
While I don't have a good read on either of you at the moment, I think the easiest way to persuade me to either side is to offer a readwall of at least some of the players, so I could determine whether you're misrepresenting facts or giving an honest view of the situation.