The Weather

.SYNOPSIS...
Southerly flow will develop today in advance of a system that
will bring widespread rain to the region tonight into Saturday.
Another system will bring rain, snow, and gusty winds to the
region late Sunday into Monday.

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.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Clear skies are in place across the region this morning. Further
off to the west there is a large shield of mid and high clouds.
These clouds will work into the region through the day and into
this evening. Went close to the blend for temperatures today
with highs in the upper 40s to the middle 50s. Winds will pick
up through the day with some wind gusts around 20 mph possible.

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.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
A system will approach the move through the region tonight into
Saturday. The most widespread and heaviest precipitation will be
late in the overnight hours and into the early daytime hours on
Saturday. Precipitation will then gradually decrease in
coverage and intensity through the day on Saturday.
Precipitation should remain in the form of rain through the
event.

Model soundings are indicating some wind gusts around 20 to 25
mph at times through the day on Saturday. Went close to the
blend for temperatures with high temperatures in the upper 40s
to middle 50s on Saturday.

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.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Ridging will move across the region early in the period. But the
next area of low pressure will quickly approach from the southwest
on Sunday. 00Z ECMWF suggests a slightly slower pivot into the
region and have followed closer to this solution. Showers will occur
as the low moves through Sunday night. Some lingering activity will
occur on the back side of the low into Monday morning and with cold
air moving in behind the low, some of this could mix or change to
snow before ending. Winds will become gusty late Sunday night with
the initial surge of cold air advection. Gusty winds will continue
into Monday morning with some decrease later in the day as the
pressure gradient starts to relax. High pressure will build into the
region Tuesday through Thursday bringing dry but cold
conditions.

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.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
River valley fog at KLUK will improve this morning. Mid and high
clouds will move into the area through the day. Cigs will
gradually lower tonight as a system approaches and moves into
the region. Visbys will also be reduced with some of the heavier
shower activity. Model soundings indicate that precipitation
will be in the form of rain. Most of the wind gusts will hold
off until after the end of the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...MVFR conditions are likely with rain on Saturday.
MVFR conditions and gusty winds are expected on Sunday night
into Monday.

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