RE: Buzzfia - Stumped on this One - Day 4 (13/22 live)
11-06-2018, 02:24 AM
Marked-up player list with observed claims and flips
Within reason, mechanically reasonable candidates for scum are Robust Laser, Mirdini, Thalia V1, Numbers, LegendaryQ, Justice Watch, awkwardcarapace, Lordlyhour, and Seedy.
Notes for how I got to that set of 8 + 1 people
Of these folks, ignoring shenanigans, 3-5 of them should be scum: Robust Laser, Mirdini, Thalia V1, Numbers, Justice Watch, awkwardcarapace, Lordlyhour, Seedy
Colored text = claims, italics = confirmed or suggested non-town Palamedes check. As an aside, Robust Laser's and Mirdini's checks are from D1 (thus from Pala themselves), Lordlyhour's and Seedy's come from later ones described by Sunspider.
I've reread posts for most of these folks: (Opinions in underline)
Robust Laser: Weak suspicious read. We kind of just took their claim with no evidence at face value, but I'm not aware of anything actually proving they are what they say besides the Pala not-town check which doesn't say that much in this case. (basically just talks about their role and mechanic, apparently guessed the mafia would kill Lizzard?)
Mirdini: (running out of time and they've talked a lot, so just doing the read) Moderate town read. They burned basically all their lives on desperados. Unless this is one hell of a gambit or something (which to be fair is a genuine possibility), it doesn't really compute that they're scum to me right now. Either/or, not willing to lynch them right now.
Thalia V1: Strong benign 3rd read. Their claim strikes me as genuine, and I like what they've done thus far. apparently a 3rd party Messenger, pointed out something I like regarding a questionable post by Dini D2, marks Seedy friendly, marks Tehpilot suspicious.
Numbers: Moderate/weak suspicious read due to Reecer flip, re-reading, and the weirdness with them and Lordlyhour. I dunno, I know I'm flipping wildly between reads on them, but I'm struggling to decide how I feel about them. Writing my notes out made me feel bad after reading them, so... eh. If Lordlyhour is scum, I feel like they're scum, though. thinks Lordlyhour is suspicious D3, defends #16 and votes Dini due to #16 "distractions" and contributing to mislynches D3, marks Myeth suspicious, marks Thalia V1 friendly, thinks Reecer is town against consensus with no apparent justification.
Justice Watch: Weak suspicious read due to the weird not-miller claim and vague lurkerness. claims not-miller despite not being called out by Palamedes D2, marks Tehpilot suspicious, marks Dini friendly, jumped on and immediately off Reecer wagon, generally not that much interaction.
awkwardcarapace: hasn't talked since d2 Nullread because duh
Lordlyhour: Strong suspicious read due to the lynch flipping and the thing with Numbers. flipped lynches, in order, from Robust Laser, to Reecer6, to a52, all of which are not scum D2, thinks Myeth is town D2, what is going on with Numbers and Lordlyhour they had like a thing going on D3?, claims visited by Seedy, potential non-town check by Palamedes from Sunspider but no claim or response to that
Seedy: Weak benign 3rd read. Mostly a hunch, I need to think more about what a talkative 3rd party Seedy might mean. didn't exist d2, really liked their d3 but i'm not sure how it lines up considering their 3rd party claim
In terms of lynch, I'd say my lynch interests are Lordlyhour > Numbers > Justice Watch > Robust Laser = Seedy > Thalia V1 > Mirdini. (As in, if I was picking from these four, I'd lynch Lordlyhour first.) Also okay with lynching awkwardcarapace on basis of lurker if we want to do that.
Within reason, mechanically reasonable candidates for scum are Robust Laser, Mirdini, Thalia V1, Numbers, LegendaryQ, Justice Watch, awkwardcarapace, Lordlyhour, and Seedy.
Notes for how I got to that set of 8 + 1 people
Of these folks, ignoring shenanigans, 3-5 of them should be scum: Robust Laser, Mirdini, Thalia V1, Numbers, Justice Watch, awkwardcarapace, Lordlyhour, Seedy
Colored text = claims, italics = confirmed or suggested non-town Palamedes check. As an aside, Robust Laser's and Mirdini's checks are from D1 (thus from Pala themselves), Lordlyhour's and Seedy's come from later ones described by Sunspider.
I've reread posts for most of these folks: (Opinions in underline)
Robust Laser: Weak suspicious read. We kind of just took their claim with no evidence at face value, but I'm not aware of anything actually proving they are what they say besides the Pala not-town check which doesn't say that much in this case. (basically just talks about their role and mechanic, apparently guessed the mafia would kill Lizzard?)
Mirdini: (running out of time and they've talked a lot, so just doing the read) Moderate town read. They burned basically all their lives on desperados. Unless this is one hell of a gambit or something (which to be fair is a genuine possibility), it doesn't really compute that they're scum to me right now. Either/or, not willing to lynch them right now.
Thalia V1: Strong benign 3rd read. Their claim strikes me as genuine, and I like what they've done thus far. apparently a 3rd party Messenger, pointed out something I like regarding a questionable post by Dini D2, marks Seedy friendly, marks Tehpilot suspicious.
Numbers: Moderate/weak suspicious read due to Reecer flip, re-reading, and the weirdness with them and Lordlyhour. I dunno, I know I'm flipping wildly between reads on them, but I'm struggling to decide how I feel about them. Writing my notes out made me feel bad after reading them, so... eh. If Lordlyhour is scum, I feel like they're scum, though. thinks Lordlyhour is suspicious D3, defends #16 and votes Dini due to #16 "distractions" and contributing to mislynches D3, marks Myeth suspicious, marks Thalia V1 friendly, thinks Reecer is town against consensus with no apparent justification.
Justice Watch: Weak suspicious read due to the weird not-miller claim and vague lurkerness. claims not-miller despite not being called out by Palamedes D2, marks Tehpilot suspicious, marks Dini friendly, jumped on and immediately off Reecer wagon, generally not that much interaction.
awkwardcarapace: hasn't talked since d2 Nullread because duh
Lordlyhour: Strong suspicious read due to the lynch flipping and the thing with Numbers. flipped lynches, in order, from Robust Laser, to Reecer6, to a52, all of which are not scum D2, thinks Myeth is town D2, what is going on with Numbers and Lordlyhour they had like a thing going on D3?, claims visited by Seedy, potential non-town check by Palamedes from Sunspider but no claim or response to that
Seedy: Weak benign 3rd read. Mostly a hunch, I need to think more about what a talkative 3rd party Seedy might mean. didn't exist d2, really liked their d3 but i'm not sure how it lines up considering their 3rd party claim
In terms of lynch, I'd say my lynch interests are Lordlyhour > Numbers > Justice Watch > Robust Laser = Seedy > Thalia V1 > Mirdini. (As in, if I was picking from these four, I'd lynch Lordlyhour first.) Also okay with lynching awkwardcarapace on basis of lurker if we want to do that.