RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day Four: LOST & FOUND ELECTION BONANZA [14/21]
09-22-2018, 03:28 PM
Dang, didn't notice the update. Don't have a lot of time this morning, but I don't want to go too much longer without saying anything.
Day 4 update has me seriously confused about what the heck is going on. Why the heck would Sai of all people be targeted by the mafia? Granted, we have plenty of time and lots of things could change, but I assumed they'd be one of the most likely to be focused on and possibly lynched today. Because based on that flip, they couldn't bus drive themselves, and no potential scum bus driver or whatnot could have effected them (a possibility I wouldn't have thought about without Sai's flip). Furthermore, I see 5 “semi-townfirms” among the 14 living. If none of them are actually gambiting mafia, well, I'm not sure what mafia's priorities are at this point.
Unless someone else shot sai and the mafia's kill bounced? I guess Sai left a semi-claim, but it wasn't something solid enough for me to focus on.
@Coldblooded: Of Seedy, Pala, and Niall... if I had to guess, I'd pick Seedy as scum right now, and pala as town. It's not based on anything in particular that I've put my finger on, but I've so far had a town feeling about palamedes. Niall's slot has been less active than I'd like (before today of course), but I still have a small town read on them (to be fair, this may be partially because of Acio, who left me a decent amount to read in the QT and had a positive view of numbers). I don't have a major read on seedy one way or the other, but of the 3 they're the one I feel ambivalent about, and may want to take a deeper dive on after work today.
If you have any follow-up questions, ask away.
The key card thing is... interesting anyway, and while I was going to ask why the heck granola was electing me instead of a semi-clear, it looks like that's already been explained. While I'd like to think that the election thing should go toward the most confirmed town we have, I can't really argue with the “give scum more to think about” reasoning. If others agree I'd be fine to take it, but until then I'm going to tentatively Elect coldblooded.
@Niall tehPilot was my strongest scum read on day 3 (aside from Airey once they started foundering and claiming before getting shot). While I've at least partially cooled on that (your explanation based on Airey votes isn't something I disagree with, and that last vote to confirm the lynch on NTA doesn't feel like a risk most scum would take), I'm still iffy on them. Actually, though, since you've got a new set of eyes, here's a quick summary and a couple questions.
Day 2 BlazerC/Lordly claimed that they get a kill if lynched, and offered to be lynched to use it on the (then) highest voted player. They were not taken up on this offer (though it did lead to acio in my slot claiming an on-death power).
Night 2 coldblooded claims to have protected jacquerel from getting shot, in a way that jacquerel reciprocates based on flavor.
Day 3 granolaman daykilled airey, who flipped scum with one-shot bulletproof. Immediately after, solaris claimed to have shot airey night 2 with no counterclaim.
Based on this information, and your thoughts based on votals...
1) Do you believe that all 5 are town?
2) If you think any are secretly scum in a gambit, what's your primary suspect and/or biggest worry?
Blarg, gotta run. But one other quick thing. Whoever visited me last night, don't say anything now. But if you're looking like you're going to get lynched, if you can describe IN DETAIL what you left for me to find last night, I will consider it a point in your favor as town.
Day 4 update has me seriously confused about what the heck is going on. Why the heck would Sai of all people be targeted by the mafia? Granted, we have plenty of time and lots of things could change, but I assumed they'd be one of the most likely to be focused on and possibly lynched today. Because based on that flip, they couldn't bus drive themselves, and no potential scum bus driver or whatnot could have effected them (a possibility I wouldn't have thought about without Sai's flip). Furthermore, I see 5 “semi-townfirms” among the 14 living. If none of them are actually gambiting mafia, well, I'm not sure what mafia's priorities are at this point.
Unless someone else shot sai and the mafia's kill bounced? I guess Sai left a semi-claim, but it wasn't something solid enough for me to focus on.
@Coldblooded: Of Seedy, Pala, and Niall... if I had to guess, I'd pick Seedy as scum right now, and pala as town. It's not based on anything in particular that I've put my finger on, but I've so far had a town feeling about palamedes. Niall's slot has been less active than I'd like (before today of course), but I still have a small town read on them (to be fair, this may be partially because of Acio, who left me a decent amount to read in the QT and had a positive view of numbers). I don't have a major read on seedy one way or the other, but of the 3 they're the one I feel ambivalent about, and may want to take a deeper dive on after work today.
If you have any follow-up questions, ask away.
The key card thing is... interesting anyway, and while I was going to ask why the heck granola was electing me instead of a semi-clear, it looks like that's already been explained. While I'd like to think that the election thing should go toward the most confirmed town we have, I can't really argue with the “give scum more to think about” reasoning. If others agree I'd be fine to take it, but until then I'm going to tentatively Elect coldblooded.
@Niall tehPilot was my strongest scum read on day 3 (aside from Airey once they started foundering and claiming before getting shot). While I've at least partially cooled on that (your explanation based on Airey votes isn't something I disagree with, and that last vote to confirm the lynch on NTA doesn't feel like a risk most scum would take), I'm still iffy on them. Actually, though, since you've got a new set of eyes, here's a quick summary and a couple questions.
Day 2 BlazerC/Lordly claimed that they get a kill if lynched, and offered to be lynched to use it on the (then) highest voted player. They were not taken up on this offer (though it did lead to acio in my slot claiming an on-death power).
Night 2 coldblooded claims to have protected jacquerel from getting shot, in a way that jacquerel reciprocates based on flavor.
Day 3 granolaman daykilled airey, who flipped scum with one-shot bulletproof. Immediately after, solaris claimed to have shot airey night 2 with no counterclaim.
Based on this information, and your thoughts based on votals...
1) Do you believe that all 5 are town?
2) If you think any are secretly scum in a gambit, what's your primary suspect and/or biggest worry?
Blarg, gotta run. But one other quick thing. Whoever visited me last night, don't say anything now. But if you're looking like you're going to get lynched, if you can describe IN DETAIL what you left for me to find last night, I will consider it a point in your favor as town.