The Wander Island Incident - Night Four - Five For One [13/21]

Spoiler'd for length.

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I was shot, did you like forget that
they didn’t try a second time yet

eheheh... oooh boy.

Like I know you just had to read a lot of pages but we spent a lot of yesterday talking about it

OK, so this is embarrassing.

The reason I’m asking why you haven’t been shot was that you claimed a protective role for no reason on day one and Mafia have had plenty of time to murder you since
I know you just had to read a lot of posts but your response so far wasn’t a very good one
although I guess forgetting who your team shot is presumably something you would check and isn’t something mafia would do so easily so you have that going for you

I was not aware of either of these facts. My initial analysis was based solely on who's voted for whom; I have a spreadsheet and everything. I am very guilty of having not read a lot of the previous days so I'm going back to them now, but geez there's a lot. I just wanted to get in quickly to keep the game moving. I find it funny that the person I accused of not being targeted by scum was actually targeted by scum though. Kinda proves my analysis right when you think about it? *shrug* Sorry 'bout that.

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Niall, besides being the first vote on Airey how did Pilot lead the lynch? You call out Jaq, Coldblooded, Slorange, and myself for surviving, between Slorange and myself who do you think is the more suspicious (you can add Jaq and Coldblooded to this question if you want but I don't really see how either of them could be scum outside of Sai lying I think).

Pilot lead the lynch by voting for Airey Days 1, 2 and 3 is what I mean by that. As for you four, I don't necessarily see you all as the most suspicious, just those with the fewest votes cast against you. The fact that one of you had most likely been targeted by the mafia actually answers that question for me. Night 1 kill whoever, Night 2 kill someone with little to no votes, Night 3 kill the busdriver. The scums' actions makes more sense now. The rest of you have had no votes cast against you which is... nnnngggh... to me but not the most suspicious by itself.

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Truth be told I had <i>completely</i> overlooked Sai indirectly claiming busdriver towards the end of D3. I don't agree with Niall's analysis in #852 knowing that since claiming a role that targets two people (at least in my usual perspective) is either busdriver or scientist which are super disruptive to scum. Basically what CB said in #859. I wouldn't think keeping Granola alive for wine purposes would be a stronger motive than killing a very disruptive role out in the open.

I've received at least one vote every day and everyone's read on me thus far has been middling at best with many people saying I've acted suspicious. I'm an easy, lazy lynch for someone who wants to get this day over with before we have time to examine the facts.

which, honestly Reads To Me like "I'm far too suspicious To Be Suspicious" which. Maybe if I were a Metagame Guru like some of y'all, this would make some degree of sense but I ain't and it Don't

@Niall: you say you're an easy lynch for the day. What about the vote for Beru (the lynch you're favoring at the time of writing)?

Knowing Sai indirectly claimed BD, which I completely missed, makes more sense than "wanted to make 'Nola look bad" for the purposes of killing Sai, agreed. I'm an easy lynch because people were already casting aspersions. Beru's lynch, for me, is based on the understanding that they've voted for Granolaman and yourself on Day 3, two people I feel very safe about based on your voting history alone. And I would have been the first voter if I had typed faster. :(

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@Niall: Your predecessor claimed a protective role but between Sai's driving and CB's children-shields protection seems pretty well covered. Got any alternative explanations for your power?

Really? Ugh. See, I had no idea that happened. I'm gonna come clean with my power then. I'm a crappy one-shot protection that only triggers on death, lynch or night death. Either Numbers didn't know what they were doing or hoped that the scum would take the bait. I'd be a pretty good Night 1 kill as I'm a pretty vanilla townie otherwise. Better me than a seer, doctor or anyone else really. Call this reveal bad strategy if you like but I didn't join this game just to get lynched straight away. Selfish, I know. Obviously, because of this fact I won't reveal who I targeted last night in case this day goes poorly for me (I don't even know if my power targets until I'm dead?). If I die today whoever I prayed for last night will be safe.

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Seedy, Pala, Niall, x1372: Out of the other three people on this list, who do you think is the most and least likely to be scum

I could give you my votes-analysis-only answer which is Seedy least, Pala then x1372 the most. Problem is there've been some role claims? x1372 has claimed... something vague, I think. As have you? I don't know. I don't pick up on soft-claims at all. Knowing who's claimed what could change my mind. But x1372 is the most suspicious based on the fact that the votes for Seedy and Lordly Hour on Day 2 look a lot more like jumping on suspicion bandwagons to me rather than what I perceive as Seedy and Pala's active, if sometimes ineffectual, scumhunting. Pala killed scum but also voted for Granolaman so I'm more mixed there. But they're both voting for Beruru now and I like that play. Again, this is based on vote analysis solely.

Anyway, I hope you don't interpret my text dump as defensiveness. I'm tryin'a catch up here is all and there's a lot here to get through. This is exhausting though, lemme tell you. Woof!