The Wander Island Incident - Night Four - Five For One [13/21]

I'm pretty anti-day 1 lynch honestly. It feels like the information gained is pretty negligible?? Unless you actually hit scum or maybe a third party, but I believe in accurately assessing who that could be outside of random chance with just psychological profiling and no concrete or even claimed information to go on is dubious at best. I don't think day one discussion is bad and the early theorycrafting is helpful.... once there's like literally anything to compare it to????

Hunting for mafia is literally just based on psychological profiling. Role stuff just goes on top of this. The lynch is both the town's best source of information in that it's a public cop, and its most reliable weapon since barring a vigilante it's how, y'know, scum actually dies. More importantly, having a lynch shows us more about how people are interacting with each other. eg, seeing who seemed to 'know' that someone was town, or became emphatically in favor of a lynch after it was already assured, etc.

I think Granola's reply to Q reads as natural, and that teammates don't tend to post very naturally to each other.

Why?

Call it gut. There was enough random stuff to respond to that he could have chosen a different post to address when making his random-post. It's based less on them being clearly opposed so much as that if they were on a team, Q would be much more likely to ignore Granola and he had no reason to seek proactively try to include teammates yet.