The Wander Island Incident - Night Four - Five For One [13/21] - Printable Version +- Eagle Time (https://eagle-time.org) +-- Forum: Cool Shit You Can Do (https://eagle-time.org/forumdisplay.php?fid=4) +--- Forum: Forum Games (https://eagle-time.org/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Thread: The Wander Island Incident - Night Four - Five For One [13/21] (/showthread.php?tid=3539) |
RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - awkwardcarapace - 08-23-2018 Hey Mirdini I hope this isn't rude or anything!! but I just wanted to see where things are standing soooo Numbers - 3 (Coldblooded, Palamedes, seedy) Airey - 1 (TehPilot) Granolaman - 2 (Airey, Schazer) Sai - 1 (Acionyx) seedy - 1 (Robust Laser) LegendaryQ - 4 (Solaris, Reyweld, Granolaman, TehPilot) Solaris - 1 (Jacquerel) Not The Author - 1 (Numbers) Schazer - 1 (Sai) Abstaining - 5 (Pharmacy, awkwardcarapace, Justice Watch, SleepingOrange, Not The Author) Personally keeping eye on Q and Numbers rn, they seem aligned? And the way they voted lurker and backpedaled right after seems :think emoji:-y RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Acionyx - 08-23-2018 Vote: Schazer AC, Seedy, Sai, Numbers ask me things and I'll look at them tomorrow also please tell me what you think of tehpilot Also also if you could have one player's alignment revealed at daystart tomorrow who would you want it to be (anyone else is invited to answer this if they want) RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Not The Author - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 04:35 AM)Acionyx Wrote: »Vote: Schazer The obvious answer is LegendaryQ, as what appears to be a target of heavy suspicion; having a clearer read on whether or not hunches are Just That or collusion with an enemy could potentially create branching logic paths from which to proceed-- but I almost feel like that's too obvious, and could be used as a smokescreen by those who... would, uh. do that. yes. A perhaps better answer, then, is one who's been relatively active in discussions but has otherwise managed to avoid the bead of scrutiny, which may get us slightly farther than directly reinforcing or refuting analysis that has already been performed. Don't have anyone in particular in mind, though. It would also be good to know, supposing the existence of some hypothetical detectives, what of flavor detective they are (supposing non-standard detectives are A Thing in this setup), but the only conclusive ways I can think to test that is to reveal the alignment of someone who later dies, which isn't helpful in the short-term, or to have my own alignment revealed, which only enlightens me. Unless I claim, but would only open more cans of worms, and I refuse to rise to the bait. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Numbers - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 04:35 AM)Acionyx Wrote: »Vote: Schazer Well, I have no real questions other than how everyone is viewing me, but my read on tehpilot is that they are a bit townie, but I disagree with their opinion on not lynching lurkers. Lurkers add nothing to the table; they're kinda just dead weight. As for a player's alignment being revealed, I wish for my own alignment to be revealed. I have no real reason to worry about saying this because as far as I know, I'm town. Had I not of been a townie, then I would logically have named someone else. Sure, this doesn't say anything about any of my reads, but it will allow myself to be cleared up. Besides, I have the entirety of Day 2 to speak my reads and stuff. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Numbers - 08-23-2018 Other than me, maybe Not The Author, because they still haven't said much of anything relating to much of anything RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - LegendaryQ - 08-23-2018 I'm leaning Acio with Numbers as a close second. On the first, you've essentially ignored me and the suspicion about me which suggests to me, amongst other options, that perhaps you're playing into previous meta (could go either way), or don't really want to deal with my nonsense without more info (i.e. town), or you're saving me as an easy mislynch on a later day (i.e. scum). Numbers is a close second simply because it'd answer a lot of questions I find myself having. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Sai - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 04:17 AM)Schazer Wrote: »I dunno, unless a pack of tragically-underinformed townies* push for what's sure to be a mislynch on D1 (cuz none of today's wagon-approximate targets have struck me as being blatantly obvious scum) aren't we all just prodding at each other seeing if anyone's fool enough to crack this early waiting for an actual flip? (08-23-2018, 04:22 AM)Schazer Wrote: »Like. With soft lynch of 6, given the number of substantive contributators who've chimed in today I think a hypothetical Massive Target could actually be dragged into the Hammerzone and manage to do it without any scum being forced to put something concrete like a vote on the board. I don't think that a random lynch is a guaranteed mislynch, and even if you were 100% right, 1 dead townie is easily worth 6 clears. I don't think that the hit or power claims will do us more good than an actual lynch, any lynch, in terms of actually giving information, that there's literally no good reason to wait to get that information, and that even if you do think that any sort of D1 lynch is ass, that it would at least get us more information wrt actually using powers. (08-23-2018, 04:21 AM)Acionyx Wrote: »(08-23-2018, 04:03 AM)Sai Wrote: »Or, actually, I think I get it now. You're saying that Reyweld not factoring in the possibility that one of the two existing wagons was already scum and that numbers would have wanted to divert the lynch from a potential teammate is something that only town would do, because scum would be more conscientious about the possibility of diverting a lynch from a teammate, right? I don't actually agree with the reasoning (if that is the argument), because scum could also just as easily know that both wagons are town and therefore not think of that as being a reason to try to push another lynch. I'm actually still not sure I follow, though I might just be tired. I don't think that Reyweld blanked there, even if you disagree with his reasoning. Quote:What's your feel on coldblooded 93? I think that with that post on its own, that it's weird that he linked total lack of content with behavior that he found to be actively scummy, but I think that this post was much better - (08-21-2018, 10:18 PM)Coldblooded Wrote: »(08-21-2018, 09:47 PM)Reyweld Wrote: »If Numbers wanted to support a bandwagon, they should have put their vote on one of the other 2 existing wagons with 3 votes on them, rather than bring another wagon to 3. As a potential scum tactic, it has only risk and no reward. I read the followup as saying that any sort of lack-of-content is scummy, which is, well, neither really useful nor contentious, but I'd still feel more comfortable with CB if he'd led with that. I'm also interested in what he'll say now that there's more content to look at. (08-23-2018, 04:27 AM)Airey Wrote: »It seemed like such a leading question / accusation that your casual acceptance of his reply seems weird, especially since you didn't follow up on his reply until just now.Quote:(08-22-2018, 04:32 AM)Airey Wrote: »I'm a little surprised Airey didn't vote for Slorange here.(08-22-2018, 04:27 AM)SleepingOrange Wrote: »No thanks. (08-23-2018, 04:35 AM)Acionyx Wrote: »Vote: Schazer Yeah, okay. I was actually looking through the thread for a good post to ask you about and found tehPilot's at #188, but then rediscovered that you were asking what we thought of tehPilot so I'll find another one. Alright, here, do you have a read on Palamedes? In particular this post - (08-22-2018, 04:37 AM)Palamedes Wrote: »(08-22-2018, 02:16 AM)Acionyx Wrote: »(08-22-2018, 02:01 AM)Reyweld Wrote: »I meant that adding to another bandwagon would be a bad scum tactic, yes. To answer your first question, I don't actually have a great read on TehPilot. His post was okay in that he gave at least some reasoning for voting for Q and the Q/numbers votes on me were both weird, but it's an extremely safe position to take if he actually thought that a wagon on me might go through. I was finna ask your thoughts on it. To answer your second, if it were a personal report, I'd cop seedy because I'm completely null on their posts. If it were a public cop, I'd pick you both to make sure that discussion didn't get masterminded and to get a useful clear early if you're town. I'd be willing to take the bet that a game this size would have a protective role. (08-23-2018, 05:16 AM)LegendaryQ Wrote: »I'm leaning Acio with Numbers as a close second. On the first, you've essentially ignored me and the suspicion about me which suggests to me, amongst other options, that perhaps you're playing into previous meta (could go either way), or don't really want to deal with my nonsense without more info (i.e. town), or you're saving me as an easy mislynch on a later day (i.e. scum). Numbers is a close second simply because it'd answer a lot of questions I find myself having.If either of the two were likely to be town, what conclusions / other value would you get by clearing them? RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Palamedes - 08-23-2018 Alright brief comeback. Sorry I'm mostly doing these long posts but I'm pretty busy nowadays. Even less of a fan of Q for that Sai vote (what about following Acio's vote on Sai was worth going for over literally anyone else at the point you voted?) Speaking of Sai, at first I feel pretty good about just from a content point of view but a lot of the posts he's come up with since reappearing seem fairly rushed for said content (giant quote walls, post by post response with varying quality of comments and questions). That sort of makes me wary, since at I find scum play is usually about quantity over quality as far as analysis goes. Sai, what do you think of me? Why are we all assuming a random lynch will give us a bunch of townfirms? seedy is sort of off for me for the lurker comment (either follow that by trying to get a lurker lynch through or explain why you're proposing it but not being a part of it), as far as I'm concerned lurker lynches are for when you don't have a proper target come end of day, since it's probably one of the only good ways to get rid of them (which yes, can often be necessary) but you're not wasting a day(s) going after them. Not The Author's response to the public cop question is not great, like maybe they're going for a typing gimmick but it seemed like it was trying to dance around a real answer, and I'm just not a fan of unvoting without pursuing a new lead like they did earlier either. (For the record, I'd reveal myself since it'd make me a target and I really don't want to live into endgame and blow things again but since that isn't a serious or likely allowed answer I'd pick Granola. Feel pretty neutral on him and there's a chance that he won't get taken out by scum for a while without that confirm unlike Acio.) Numbers isn't really doing anything to make me want to change my vote. Could move to Q with an off chance of NTA or maybe Sai if that's the way things go. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Sai - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 06:57 AM)Palamedes Wrote: »Sorry I'm mostly doing these long posts but I'm pretty busy nowadays. That's actually what I'm doing too and why I'll probably keep doing quote walls. I'm gonna have relatively small windows to post, so I'm trying to keep everything encapsulated. Quote:Speaking of Sai, at first I feel pretty good about just from a content point of view but a lot of the posts he's come up with since reappearing seem fairly rushed for said content (giant quote walls, post by post response with varying quality of comments and questions). That sort of makes me wary, since at I find scum play is usually about quantity over quality as far as analysis goes. Sai, what do you think of me? They look rushed because they are rushed. If there were more involved arguments, I'd probably be going over the same posts multiple times in these things. I don't have a read on you. I doubt I will until there's more discussion. I think your first vote for numbers was fine, albeit inoffensive. I don't find numbers' posts as incriminating as you did, because I think they just make it obvious that they're new more than anything else. Quote:Why are we all assuming a random lynch will give us a bunch of townfirms?I'm not. I'm saying that in Schazer's hypothetical about a D1 lynch being a guaranteed, strictly a townie-led mislynch, then it'd still be worthwhile. Quote:Numbers isn't really doing anything to make me want to change my vote. Could move to Q with an off chance of NTA or maybe Sai if that's the way things go.Can you explain why you'd want to lynch Not The Author? Also, is there a particular reason that you you wouldn't want to lynch Schazer? RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Mirdini - 08-23-2018 10 Hours 'til Night Votals LegendaryQ - 4 (Solaris, Reyweld, Granolaman, TehPilot) Numbers - 3 (Coldblooded, Palamedes, seedy) Granolaman - 2 (Airey, Schazer) Schazer - 2 (Sai, Acionyx) seedy - 1 (Robust Laser) Solaris - 1 (Jacquerel) Abstaining - 8 (Pharmacy, awkwardcarapace, Justice Watch, SleepingOrange, Not The Author, LegendaryQ, BlazerC, Numbers) With 21 players alive it takes 11 votes to hard lynch, and 6 votes to soft lynch. Day ends in 10 hours, at 10pm CET on Thursday, August 23rd. NEW Day End Countdown RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Numbers - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 07:44 AM)Sai Wrote: »Can you explain why you'd want to lynch Not The Author? Basically, it's because Not The Author has been saying all rhetoric and no fact. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Numbers - 08-23-2018 I'll say why I didn't vote Schazer later when I actually have the time to type out more than a single sentence. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Reyweld - 08-23-2018 I don't think Schazer is a good choice for a lynch for a few reasons.
RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Reyweld - 08-23-2018 Also, re: lynching LegendaryQ confirms x Town: I super disagree. If they're Scum!LegendaryQ, which would be golden, scum could decide to cut Q loose in favour of looking good. While I would feel better about the other three currently on the lynch, it wouldn't and shouldn't be considered a townfirm. If they're Town!LegendaryQ, it isn't a Townfirm because anyone who voted for them could be Scum. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - LegendaryQ - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 06:13 AM)Sai Wrote: »(08-23-2018, 05:16 AM)LegendaryQ Wrote: »I'm leaning Acio with Numbers as a close second. On the first, you've essentially ignored me and the suspicion about me which suggests to me, amongst other options, that perhaps you're playing into previous meta (could go either way), or don't really want to deal with my nonsense without more info (i.e. town), or you're saving me as an easy mislynch on a later day (i.e. scum). Numbers is a close second simply because it'd answer a lot of questions I find myself having.If either of the two were likely to be town, what conclusions / other value would you get by clearing them? Acio: I have a tendency to trust/follow the judgment of Acio frankly because they're a much much better player than I am, so a townfirm would give me more certainty. I will admit this is absolutely a meta reason. Numbers: Then I'll feel confident they're just newbie town and there's nothing else going on with their activity relative to me. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Palamedes - 08-23-2018 @Sai, asking why I'd lynch NTA: (08-23-2018, 06:57 AM)Palamedes Wrote: »Not The Author's response to the public cop question is not great, like maybe they're going for a typing gimmick but it seemed like it was trying to dance around a real answer, and I'm just not a fan of unvoting without pursuing a new lead like they did earlier either. If this isn't super clear I think they're trying to avoid committing on anything, but since that looks bad they're throwing a lot of words out to cover that up. Schazer is not a fantastic lynch for more or less the same reason a lurker lynch sucks. No info, and going after them outside of the last few hours of the day is likely wasting your time (at least this early, when they're committed to the whole 'day one is bullshit' thing). Keeping on someone who isn't going to respond or change like that is also a really safe vote for scum. I'll vote for them for the same reasons I'd vote for a lurker - to get them out of the way in an end of Day voting frenzy because a real target didn't come together. That's because I disagree with Reyweld on his point that Schazer is a likely scum target - scum usually wants to keep distractions like lurkers or the unhelpful alive since it keeps town off of their back and often provide better targets to town. Thus it is up to town to get rid of them, but in a way that doesn't lead to us wasting our voting power. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Granolaman - 08-23-2018 Isn't that something we should relegate to the vig? Or call in a replacement on if the lurking is severe? Lurker lynching in totality is a waste of momentum and daylight. No one feels any pressure and we get barely any analyticals off the wagon and interactions. As far as public copping I'd also choose myself but if I were getting private results I'd pick Reyweld. I don't see town-blindness as a definite towntell given how carefree he played as scum in nostalgfia. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - BlazerC - 08-23-2018 why are any of you assuming that lynching a random person would give us a buncha town firms pretty sure that was just Acio mocking/joking at Schazer's argument on post #223 You guys are taking their words a little too literally, I think something something no fun allowed I'm really torn though. On one hand I want to vote for lynching Schazer because their argument fucking sucks, but I'm still in the camp of "that's kind of a stupid idea" for reasons I've already said. If we had more hours in the day I would definitely go for it. But by the time night/soft lynch rolls around I'm going to be fast asleep. So I've kinda just resigned myself to the fact that a day 1 lynch is just not gonna happen. Still gonna be annoyed when the most silent person (read: Justice Watch) gets killed by the maf tonight and we'd be right back at square one, but I'm going to hedge my bets that there's a SK or a really gun-ho Vig laying around who'd be more willing to give us something to work with. oh yeah and Acio my own two cents so you can get your READS or whatever: I would honestly prefer a Coldblooded role reveal. I find myself constantly flipping between "bad" and "good" on them and I would just really like to know where the hell they stand. bonus opinions, I have scum reads on Granola and Legendary Q based on their "trying to look helpful" attitudes and town reads on Numbers and Sai. My opinion on Schaz is a god damn mess but they're either: third party, scum or simply an uncaring and unhelpful townie, all of which just are not helpful to the town RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - awkwardcarapace - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 04:35 AM)Acionyx Wrote: »AC, Seedy, Sai, Numbers ask me things and I'll look at them tomorrow also please tell me what you think of tehpilot Er... I really don't have any??? Strong opinions either way on them or any read at all really, they've only made three posts, one of which is a joke, so it's pretty hard to tell at this point (maybe later in the game we'll see) (08-23-2018, 06:13 AM)Sai Wrote: »To answer your second, if it were a personal report, I'd cop seedy because I'm completely null on their posts. If it were a public cop, I'd pick you both to make sure that discussion didn't get masterminded and to get a useful clear early if you're town. I'd be willing to take the bet that a game this size would have a protective role. Also, this, and I wouldn't be opposed to Reyweld or RL either I'm actually pretty surprised Q has 4 votes nearing the end of the day, I wasn't expecting any wagons today to get close but here we are... I know what I said earlier about D1 voting but I'm seriously debating voting today for 'em. :P RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - BlazerC - 08-23-2018 ...I mean, I can kinda get behind a Q lynch? Again I'm about to go to bed in a moment and I don't want my vote lying around to cause a soft lynch to happen, even after they miraculously brought some information to light, (like a role claim,) that would have convinced me to unvote if I saw it while I was awake. But uggghghgh a lot of people had opinions on them and they've had a lot of opinions of their own... gYEAUH FUCK IT, LETS PLAY SOME MAFIA. Vote: Legendary Q RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Mirdini - 08-23-2018 5 Hours Remain Votals LegendaryQ - 5 (Solaris, Reyweld, Granolaman, TehPilot, BlazerC) Numbers - 3 (Coldblooded, Palamedes, seedy) Granolaman - 2 (Airey, Schazer) Schazer - 2 (Sai, Acionyx) seedy - 1 (Robust Laser) Solaris - 1 (Jacquerel) Abstaining - 7 (Pharmacy, awkwardcarapace, Justice Watch, SleepingOrange, Not The Author, LegendaryQ, Numbers) With 21 players alive it takes 11 votes to hard lynch, and 6 votes to soft lynch. Day ends in 5 hours, at 10pm CET on Thursday, August 23rd. NEW Day End Countdown RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Pharmacy - 08-23-2018 If I had to public cop anyone, it would be Coldblooded, cuz she's helpful and I want to make sure we have some confirmation to rely on her. Seedy and Reyweld are good choices too. My brain says Seedy because, as Sai said, their posts feel neutral so far. My heart says Reyweld because he killed me in nostalgfia...the meta aftertaste... ANYWAY, I'll probably be unlikely to vote before the day ends bc B U S Y. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Acionyx - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 01:49 PM)Palamedes Wrote: »@Sai, asking why I'd lynch NTA: How's that look to you wrt them volunteering an answer; NTA wasn't in my direct asks RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Coldblooded - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 04:28 AM)awkwardcarapace Wrote: »Personally keeping eye on Q and Numbers rn, they seem aligned? And the way they voted lurker and backpedaled right after seems :think emoji:-y Scum don't usually vote together so blatantly like that, I think it's much more likely that they're anti-aligned. (One scum and one town between the two.) They're not ignoring each other enough to be scummates imo. Between the two of them though, I think Numbers is more likely to be scum? Based on their post history I'm pretty sure that this is their first real mafia game, but that honestly makes that "I think Coldblooded is town" post feel even weirder? Like in my experience, the hallmarks of a new town player are like, making super overconfident reads D1 and getting mad whenever anyone votes for you because obviously you're town and everyone who doesn't realize that is an idiot. Whereas new scum are much more likely to play it close to their chest and do as little to draw attention as possible. Numbers falls into the latter camp hard. RE: The Wander Island Incident - Day One: Incident Report - Acionyx - 08-23-2018 (08-23-2018, 06:13 AM)Sai Wrote: »Alright, here, do you have a read on Palamedes? In particular this post - Iiiiiit honestly doesn't tell me much besides he is probably unaligned with numbers given his other post before it. Pala's a player I'm be reluctant to give a hard read on early but Quote:Why are we all assuming a random lynch will give us a bunch of townfirms? I think I'd give him a light townread for this, it doesn't feel like something scum would seriously be asking and I don't remember purposeful dumbtelling to be a thing pala does thoughts on that? |